The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is recorded at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 odds. However, there are just six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into consideration.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers in McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we could inform you that the version is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this track among busy NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR at Bristol race because of his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the package from the starting position in that race also has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will again start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better worth compared to 12-1 premium he’s commanding.

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