It’s simple for lovers and sport bettors to overlook UFC 224 while looking forward toward CM Punk’s redemption struggle at UFC 225, the winner. champion match-up in UFC 226 or the rumored Georges St-Pierre vs. Nate Diaz bout at UFC 227.
That’d be a mistake.
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is becoming an exciting battle card with interesting alternatives for gamblers looking to parlay prelim fights with main-card bouts. The real money on this card is going to be made by betting on stoppages, decisions or even the over-under on rounds; not on digging to find underdogs to drop money on.
[Editor’s note: You can follow Kel in @KelDansby. Dansby is author for ABC 13 at Las Vegas and co-host of The Corner Podcast and Andreas Hale. The podcast covers boxing, mixed martial arts and also pro wrestling from your Hip Hop generation’s view.]
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and More UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and much more Let’s start with the card’s main event women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes (-1400) and Racquel Pennington (+800). Pennington enters UFC 224 on a four-fight winning series, with her last loss coming by split decision to former bantamweight champion and current featherweight contender Holly Holm.
That streak of achievement will jump off the page to people expecting to bet on a title underdog to mad a champion that still has a lot to prove, but if you dig deeper you find that Pennington’s streak is a bit of a mirage.
“Rocky” has only stopped two of the last 10 opponents. Both of those competitions, Jessica Andrade (strawweight) and Ashlee Evans-Smith (flyweight), are now competing in weight reduction classes. Pennington needed a split decision to defeat Bethe Correia, which isn’t a great vote of confidence for those expecting she will conquer Nunes.
Pennington’s latest wins were against Elizabeth Phillips and a deflated Meisha Tate — equally also coming by decision. The cherry on top of the”do not fall for the underdog narrative” cautionary tale is that the fact that Pennington has not competed since November 2016 and has been thrust to this title fight.
The winner Amanda Nunes has been much more striking in her last 10 fights, which explains why she’s such a heavy favorite.
Since the beginning of 2016, Nunes holds two wins over Valentina Shevchenko, a first-round submission of Miesha Tate and Sara McMann, and a totally demolishing knockout of Ronda Rousey.
Actually, the only people to take Nunes beyond the initial round of a struggle was Shevchenko and Cat Zingano, who ceased Nunes with strikes at UFC 178.
Nunes has grown much since then and also the smart cash points at her stopping Pennington in two and a half rounds that’s currently at -135. If the rounds scare you, but wish to still invest in Nunes, subsequently Nunes by TKO at +120 is a much safer way to play with it. (Note: all likelihood herein come from William Hill.)
There is a risk with this bet. Pennington has only been stopped once in her career, coincidentally also in the hands of Cat Zingano. For those with their hearts set on betting the puppy, Pennington losing by choice (Nunes by UD in +325) is the best bet because the numbers say that an upset isn’t happening on Saturday night.
Speaking of live dogs, the UFC 224 co-main is where creative bets can result in cashing a substantial ticket.
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